Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT / 8:10 PM ET / 5:10 PM PT
Surface: Artificial Turf
Park Factor: One of MLB’s most hitter‑friendly domed parks; boosts home runs to left and left‑center.
WEATHER OUTLOOK — MILWAUKEE, WI
(Note: American Family Field has a retractable roof; roof is often closed for comfort.)
Temperature (outside): 62–65°F
Sky: Mostly cloudy
Wind: 8–12 mph (irrelevant if roof closed)
Rain: 30% chance
Impact:
Roof likely closed, creating a neutral‑to‑hitter‑friendly environment.
Ball carries well in controlled indoor air — advantage to power hitters on both sides.
INJURY REPORT
New York Yankees (26–13)
OF Aaron Judge — Healthy
1B Anthony Rizzo — Day‑to‑Day (back tightness)
2B Gleyber Torres — Healthy
SP Gerrit Cole — OUT (elbow rehab)
Milwaukee Brewers (20–16)
OF Christian Yelich — Probable (knee soreness)
C William Contreras — Healthy
SS Willy Adames — Healthy
SP Freddy Peralta — Healthy
Impact:
Yankees missing Cole continues to test their rotation depth, but their offense is elite.
Brewers’ lineup is near full strength if Yelich plays.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
New York Yankees (26–13)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 12–7
Run Differential: +47
Trend: Offense surging, bullpen elite, rotation steady despite injuries.
Milwaukee Brewers (20–16)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 11–8
Run Differential: +6
Trend: Offense improving, pitching inconsistent, bullpen stabilizing.
RECENT TEAM FORM SNAPSHOT
New York Yankees
Judge on a power surge
Juan Soto producing MVP‑level OBP + slugging
Volpe emerging as a top‑of‑order spark
Yankees averaging 5.4 runs per game over last 10
Bullpen ERA top‑5 in MLB
Milwaukee Brewers
Contreras carrying the offense
Adames showing improved plate discipline
Yelich productive when healthy
Brewers averaging 4.6 runs per game over last 10
Bullpen improving but still inconsistent in middle innings
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Series: Yankees won 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
At American Family Field: Yankees have won 3 of last 4
Trend: New York has held a slight edge in recent interleague matchups.
PROJECTED STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
NEW YORK — SP Nestor Cortes (LHP)
2026 ERA: 3.77
WHIP: 1.18
Last 3 Starts: 2–1, 3.60 ERA
Strengths: Deception, command, soft contact
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to right‑handed power in hitter‑friendly parks
Matchup Note: Brewers’ right‑handed bats (Adames, Contreras, Canha) match up well vs. Cortes.
MILWAUKEE — SP Freddy Peralta (RHP)
2026 ERA: 3.54
WHIP: 1.12
Last 3 Starts: 2–1, 3.21 ERA
Strengths: High‑velo fastball, elite strikeout ability
Weaknesses: Occasional walk issues, HR‑prone when behind in counts
Matchup Note: Yankees’ patient lineup can force Peralta into deep counts.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Freddy Peralta
Judge crushes high fastballs
Peralta’s command must be sharp
Advantage: Yankees
William Contreras (MIL) vs. Nestor Cortes
Contreras excels vs. lefties
Cortes’ deception may limit damage
Advantage: Even
Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Brewers Bullpen
Soto’s OBP skills pressure Milwaukee’s middle relief
Brewers’ bullpen has struggled vs. elite lefties
Advantage: Yankees
BETTING TRENDS
New York Yankees
7–3 in last 10
Overs hit in 5 of last 7
6–2 in last 8 road games
5–1 in last 6 vs. Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
4–2 in last 6 home games
Overs hit in 6 of last 8
3–6 in last 9 vs. AL East opponents
Peralta 3–1 in last 4 home starts
Head‑to‑Head
Yankees averaging 5.2 runs per game vs. Brewers since 2024
Brewers averaging 4.1 runs per game
Overs hit in 6 of last 10 meetings
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 143
Milwaukee Brewers 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 8, 2026
