Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
First Pitch: 8:10 PM ET / 7:10 PM CT / 5:10 PM PT
Surface: Artificial Turf
Park Factor: A top‑10 hitter‑friendly indoor park, boosts HRs to left and left‑center.
WEATHER OUTLOOK — MILWAUKEE, WI
Note: American Family Field features a retractable roof. Forecast suggests roof likely closed due to cool temperatures.
Outdoor Temperature: 58–61°F
Wind: 10–14 mph (irrelevant if roof closed)
Rain: 20% chance
Impact:
With roof closed: neutral‑to‑slightly hitter‑friendly environment.
Ball carries well indoors, especially for right‑handed power.
INJURY REPORT
New York Yankees
SP Gerrit Cole — OUT (elbow rehab)
RP Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (shoulder strain)
OF Aaron Judge — Probable (minor hip tightness)
1B Anthony Rizzo — Healthy
Milwaukee Brewers
SP Freddy Peralta — OUT (forearm tightness)
RP Devin Williams — OUT (back surgery recovery)
OF Jackson Chourio — Probable (hamstring tightness)
SS Willy Adames — Healthy
Impact:
Yankees bullpen depth slightly reduced without Loáisiga.
Brewers missing Peralta and Williams significantly impacts rotation and late‑inning reliability.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
New York Yankees (26–12)
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 12–7
Run Differential: +48
Trend: One of MLB’s hottest teams; elite pitching + top‑tier power
Milwaukee Brewers (19–16)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 10–8
Run Differential: +6
Trend: Offense improving, pitching inconsistent, bullpen shaky without Williams
RECENT TEAM FORM SNAPSHOT
Yankees
Judge and Soto forming MLB’s most dangerous 1‑2 punch
Rotation delivering quality innings despite Cole’s absence
Bullpen strong in leverage spots
Defense top‑tier
Brewers
Chourio and Adames producing in middle of order
Rotation depth tested without Peralta
Bullpen ERA bottom‑third
Offense streaky but dangerous at home
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season Series: Yankees won 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 6–4
At American Family Field: Yankees have won 3 of last 4
Trend: New York has controlled the matchup in recent seasons.
PROJECTED STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
NEW YORK — Carlos Rodón (LHP)
2026 ERA: 3.28
WHIP: 1.18
Last 3 Starts: 2–1, 2.95 ERA
Strengths: High‑velo fastball, strong K‑rate, dominant vs. lefties
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues vs. right‑handed power
Matchup Note: Brewers’ right‑handed bats (Adames, Contreras, Hoskins) are key threats.
MILWAUKEE — Colin Rea (RHP)
2026 ERA: 4.61
WHIP: 1.34
Last 3 Starts: 1–2, 5.10 ERA
Strengths: Good cutter, induces soft contact
Weaknesses: Struggles vs. elite power hitters, vulnerable to lefties
Matchup Note: Yankees’ lefties (Soto, Rizzo, Verdugo) are dangerous in this park.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Colin Rea
Soto hitting .330 vs. RHP
Rea struggles vs. left‑handed power
Advantage: Soto
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Brewers Bullpen
Judge crushes high‑velo relievers
Brewers bullpen vulnerable without Williams
Advantage: Judge
Willy Adames (MIL) vs. Carlos Rodón
Adames hits lefties well
Rodón’s slider must be sharp
Advantage: Even
BETTING TRENDS
Moneyline Trends
Yankees are 7–3 in last 10
Brewers are 5–5 in last 10
Yankees are 4–1 in last 5 road games
Total Runs Trends
American Family Field is a Top‑10 Over park
Brewers pitching inconsistent
Yankees offense elite
Over 8.5 receiving early sharp interest.
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 131
Milwaukee Brewers 7
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, May 7, 2026
