Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports Sun, NESN, MLB.TV
VENUE — FENWAY PARK
Location: Boston, MA
Dimensions: Short LF (310 ft), deep CF (420 ft), quirky RF corner
Park Factor: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for right‑handed pull hitters
Surface: Natural grass
Fenway rewards line‑drive hitters and teams that can exploit the Green Monster.
WEATHER FORECAST (Boston, MA — May 7, 2026)
Temperature at first pitch: 61°F
Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to left field
Humidity: Moderate
Conditions: Clear skies, cool evening
Impact: Wind blowing out to left boosts right‑handed power and fly‑ball hitters. Expect elevated extra‑base hit potential.
INJURY REPORT
Tampa Bay Rays
Wander Franco — OUT (administrative leave)
Shane McClanahan — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
Josh Lowe — OUT (oblique)
Brandon Lowe — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
Pete Fairbanks — Day‑to‑day (shoulder fatigue)
Boston Red Sox
Trevor Story — OUT (elbow)
Triston Casas — OUT (rib fracture)
Nick Pivetta — OUT (forearm strain)
Kenley Jansen — Day‑to‑day (hamstring)
Masataka Yoshida — Questionable (wrist)
Impact: Boston’s lineup is missing two major run producers. Tampa Bay’s bullpen is thin but still deeper than Boston’s.
RECENT TEAM FORM
Tampa Bay Rays
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 11–7
Runs/Game: 5.0
Team ERA: 3.62
Trend: Rays are winning with balanced offense, elite defense, and strong starting pitching.
Boston Red Sox
Last 10: 3–7
Home Record: 8–11
Runs/Game: 4.2
Team ERA: 4.89
Trend: Boston’s pitching has been inconsistent, and the offense has been streaky without Casas and Story.
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Tampa Bay Rays — RHP Zach Eflin
2026 Season: 3–1, 3.48 ERA
Strengths: Cutter/curveball combo, elite command
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues in hitter‑friendly parks
Fenway Fit: Good — ground‑ball tendencies help neutralize the Monster
Boston Red Sox — RHP Brayan Bello
2026 Season: 2–4, 4.71 ERA
Strengths: Sinker/changeup, induces weak contact
Weaknesses: Struggles vs. left‑handed hitters, command lapses
Fenway Fit: Mixed — sinker can get punished if elevated
Matchup Impact: Eflin’s command gives Tampa Bay a clear edge. Bello must keep the ball down to avoid damage.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Randy Arozarena (TB) vs. Brayan Bello (BOS)
Arozarena crushes sinkers and changeups
Bello struggles vs. right‑handed power Edge: Rays
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Zach Eflin (TB)
Devers hits elite right‑handers well
Eflin’s cutter can jam him, but Fenway boosts Devers’ power Edge: Even
Isaac Paredes (TB) vs. Red Sox Bullpen
Paredes feasts on mediocre relief pitching
Boston’s bullpen ERA is bottom‑10 Edge: Rays
Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. Rays Outfield Defense
Duran’s speed is a weapon
Rays have elite defensive positioning Edge: Rays
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season: Rays won season series 10–3
At Fenway: Rays have won 7 of last 10
Trend: Tampa Bay consistently outperforms Boston in close games
BETTING TRENDS
Tampa Bay Rays
Rays are 6–1 in last 7 vs. losing teams
Rays are 5–2 in last 7 road games
Under is 4–1 in last 5 Eflin starts
Boston Red Sox
Red Sox are 2–6 in last 8 home games
Over is 6–3 in last 9 Boston games
Boston is 1–5 in last 6 vs. AL East opponents
Head‑to‑Head
Rays are 8–2 in last 10 meetings
Over is 7–3 in last 10 at Fenway
Rays average 5.8 runs/game vs. Boston since 2024
GAME ODDS
Tampa Bay Rays 8.5
Boston Red Sox – 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, May 6, 2026
