NWSL Match Preview: San Diego Wave (5-2-0) vs. Bay FC (2-3-0)

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Venue: PayPal Park — San Jose, California

Kickoff: 7:30 PM PT / 10:30 PM ET

Surface: Natural grass

Broadcast: CBS Sports Golazo / NWSL+

WEATHER REPORT — SAN JOSE

Temperature: 64–67°F at kickoff

Wind: 5–8 mph from the northwest

Humidity: 48%

Precipitation: <5% chance

Pitch Impact:

Ideal conditions for high‑tempo play

Slight wind may favor long diagonal balls

Grass surface suits both teams’ possession‑oriented styles

INJURY REPORT

Bay FC

Asisat Oshoala (FW)Probable, minor knee soreness

Deyna Castellanos (MF)Probable, light workload management

Jen Beattie (DF)Out, calf strain

Katelyn Rowland (GK)Out, ankle injury

San Diego Wave FC

Alex Morgan (FW)Probable, minor hip tightness

Naomi Girma (DF)Questionable, hamstring tightness

Abby Dahlkemper (DF)Out, back injury

Kailen Sheridan (GK)Probable, routine rest

TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE

Bay FC (2‑3‑0)

Goals For: 7

Goals Against: 10

Home Record: 1‑1‑0

Last 5 Matches: L‑W‑L‑W‑L

Strengths: Midfield creativity, pace in wide areas, strong counterattacks

Weaknesses: Defensive organization, set‑piece marking

San Diego Wave FC (5‑2‑0)

Goals For: 12

Goals Against: 6

Road Record: 2‑1‑0

Last 5 Matches: W‑W‑L‑W‑W

Strengths: Defensive structure, elite wing play, clinical finishing

Weaknesses: Depth at center back, occasional midfield turnovers

RECENT TEAM FORM

Bay FC

Averaging 1.4 goals per match over last 5

Attack improving with Oshoala’s return

Defense conceding 1.8 goals per match

Midfield cohesion still inconsistent

San Diego Wave FC

Averaging 2.0 goals per match over last 5

Defense among league’s best

Morgan + Shaw partnership thriving

Excellent late‑game fitness and pressing

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Asisat Oshoala (BAY) vs. Naomi Girma (SD)

Oshoala’s pace and physicality vs. Girma’s elite positioning

If Girma is limited or unavailable, matchup swings heavily Edge: San Diego (if Girma plays), Even otherwise

2. Jaedyn Shaw (SD) vs. Bay FC Midfield

Shaw’s ability to drift between lines is a major threat

Bay must close central channels quickly Edge: San Diego

3. Deyna Castellanos (BAY) vs. San Diego Double Pivot

Castellanos’ creativity can unlock compact defenses

San Diego’s midfield must prevent her from dictating tempo Edge: Bay FC (slight)

4. Alex Morgan (SD) vs. Bay FC Center Backs

Morgan’s movement and finishing remain elite

Bay’s back line has struggled with tracking runs Edge: San Diego

SERIES HISTORY

(Bay FC is a 2024 expansion club — limited history)

Last 4 Meetings: San Diego leads 3‑1‑0

At PayPal Park: Series tied 1‑1

San Diego has scored 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 vs. Bay FC

BETTING TRENDS

Bay FC

2‑3 in last 5

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of last 5

Conceded first in 4 of last 6

San Diego Wave FC

4‑1 in last 5

Under 2.5 goals in 4 of last 6

Scored first in 5 of last 7

MATCH ODDS

Bay FC                               + 200

San Diego Wave               + 130

Draw                                 + 250

Over 2.5  – 115                  Under 2.5 – 105

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 2, 2026