MLS Match Preview: Philadelphia Union (1-7-2) vs. Nashville SC (7-1-1)

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Venue: GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee

Kickoff: 7:30 PM CT / 8:30 PM ET / 5:30 PM PT

Broadcast: MLS Season Pass (Apple TV)

Nashville enters at 7‑1‑1, one of the hottest teams in MLS with elite defensive metrics and efficient attacking patterns. Philadelphia arrives at 1‑7‑2, enduring one of the roughest starts in club history, struggling on both ends of the pitch.

This is a matchup of a surging contender vs. a team searching for answers.

WEATHER REPORT — GEODIS PARK

Forecast: Clear and mild

Temperature: 66–70°F

Wind: 5–8 mph from the southwest

Rain Chance: <10%

Impact:

Ideal playing conditions

Fast surface favors Nashville’s vertical transitions

Minimal weather impact on set pieces or long balls

INJURY REPORT

Nashville SC

No major injuries reported

One midfielder listed as day‑to‑day (probable)

Philadelphia Union

No major injuries reported

Monitoring a defender with minor muscle tightness (expected to play)

Both teams project to be near full strength.

TACTICAL & PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Hany Mukhtar (NSH) vs. Philadelphia Midfield

Mukhtar remains one of MLS’s most dangerous creators, thriving between the lines. Philadelphia must deny him space or risk being carved open repeatedly.

Edge: Nashville

2. Sam Surridge (NSH) vs. Union Center‑Backs

Surridge’s aerial presence and finishing ability have been central to Nashville’s attacking surge. Philadelphia’s back line has struggled with marking and spacing.

Edge: Nashville

3. Julián Carranza (PHI) vs. Nashville Back Line

Carranza remains Philadelphia’s most dangerous finisher. Nashville’s elite defensive structure makes this a difficult matchup.

Edge: Nashville

4. Goalkeeping: Joe Willis (NSH) vs. Andre Blake (PHI)

Blake is one of MLS’s best keepers, but he’s facing heavy pressure behind a struggling defense. Willis benefits from Nashville’s compact shape.

Edge: Even

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

NASHVILLE SC (7‑1‑1)

Last 5: W‑W‑D‑W‑W

Goals For: 15

Goals Against: 6

Trend: Elite form, strong on both ends

Strengths:

Compact defensive structure

Efficient finishing

Strong home‑field advantage

Weaknesses:

Occasional slow buildup

Reliance on Mukhtar for creativity

PHILADELPHIA UNION (1‑7‑2)

Last 5: L‑L‑D‑L‑L

Goals For: 8

Goals Against: 20

Trend: One of MLS’s coldest teams

Strengths:

Capable in transition

Strong goalkeeping

Weaknesses:

Defensive breakdowns

Poor road form

Inconsistent midfield control

Limited chance creation

SERIES HISTORY

Last 7 meetings: Nashville leads 4‑2‑1

At GEODIS Park: Nashville 2‑0‑1

Nashville has conceded 1 goal or fewer in 6 of the last 7 meetings

Philadelphia has not won in Nashville since joining MLS

Nashville holds a clear historical and stylistic edge.

BETTING TRENDS

Nashville SC

4‑0‑1 at home in last 5

Unders hitting in 5 of last 8

Scored first in 7 of last 9

Philadelphia Union

0‑4‑1 in last 5

Overs hitting in 6 of last 8

Conceded first in 7 of last 9

Matchup Trends

Nashville unbeaten in last 5 vs. Philadelphia

Unders hitting in 4 of last 6 meetings

MATCH ODDS

Nashville SC                       + 190

Philadelphia Union         + 140

Draw                                     + 245

Over 2.5 + 100                  Under 2.5 – 120

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026