Dodger Stadium — Los Angeles, California
First Pitch: 7:10 PM PT / 10:10 PM ET
Weather Outlook
Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA Forecast:
Temperature: 67–70°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to left-center — mild HR boost for RHB
Conditions: Clear skies, low humidity
Rain Probability: <2%
Park Factor: Dodger Stadium plays neutral-to-slightly pitcher-friendly, but warm evening air and outward wind add modest slugging upside
Team Records & Recent Form
Miami Marlins (14–16)
Last 10: 5–5
Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense remains inconsistent
Strengths: Speed, improved OBP from top of lineup
Weaknesses: Bullpen volatility, lack of power
Road Record: 6–9
Key Note: Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in 6 of last 10 games
Los Angeles Dodgers (20–10)
Last 10: 7–3
Trend: Elite lineup production; rotation performing at top-tier level
Strengths: Deep lineup, strong bullpen, elite home-field performance
Weaknesses: Occasional strikeout-heavy games
Home Record: 12–5
Key Note: Dodgers have scored 5+ runs in 7 of last 9 games
Projected Starting Pitchers
Miami — LHP Jesús Luzardo
2026 Early Season Line: Mid‑3s ERA, strong strikeout rate
Strengths: High-velocity fastball, wipeout slider, excellent vs. LHB
Weakness: HR susceptibility vs. RHB; command lapses when fatigued
Matchup Fit: Dodgers’ right-handed power (Betts, Smith, Hernández) is a challenge
Los Angeles — RHP Bobby Miller
2026 Early Season Line: Low‑3s ERA, elite WHIP, high K/BB
Strengths: Triple-digit fastball, power slider, strong home splits
Weakness: Occasional walk issues; can be hit when behind in counts
Matchup Fit: Miami’s low-power lineup is a favorable matchup for Miller
Injury Report
Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Day-to-day (hamstring) — expected to play
Jake Burger: IL (wrist)
A.J. Puk: Available; light workload recently
Bullpen: Middle-relief arms heavily used on 4/27–4/28
Dodgers
Max Muncy: Day-to-day (quad) — likely available
Walker Buehler: IL (elbow management)
Blake Treinen: Available but workload elevated
Bullpen: Back-end arms rested; middle relief taxed
Key Player Matchups
Marlins Hitters vs. Bobby Miller
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Best matchup for MIA; strong vs. high-velocity RHP
Josh Bell: Power threat but inconsistent vs. elite velocity
Bryan De La Cruz: Good fastball hitter; multi-hit potential
Dodgers Hitters vs. Jesús Luzardo
Mookie Betts: Elite vs. LHP; HR + multi-hit potential
Will Smith: Excellent vs. sliders; RBI upside
Teoscar Hernández: Power threat; wind direction boosts HR potential
Series History
2025 Season: Dodgers won season series 5–1
At Dodger Stadium: Dodgers have won 8 of last 10
Trend: Dodgers consistently outslug Miami in this matchup
Notable: 6 of last 8 meetings have gone Over
Betting Trends
Miami
ATS: 4–6 last 10
Totals: Under in 6 of last 9
As Road Underdogs: ~40% win rate
Vs. RHP: Below-average production
Los Angeles
ATS: 7–3 last 10
Totals: Over in 6 of last 8
As Home Favorites: ~65% win rate
Vs. LHP: Top‑5 OPS in MLB
Head-to-Head
Dodgers 8–2 in last 10
Overs: 7 of last 10
LA has scored 5+ runs in 8 of last 10 vs. MIA
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers – 240
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, April 28, 2026
