Venue, Date & Time
Stadium: T‑Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
First Pitch: 4:10 PM PT, Monday April 13, 2026
Weather: 51°F, cool Seattle spring conditions (from ESPN gameday)
Cool temperatures and marine air typically suppress ball carry slightly — a mild advantage for pitchers.
Injury Report
The provided sources did not list injuries for either team.
(No injury data was included in the ESPN, MLB.com, or Doc’s Sports previews.)
Team Records & Recent Form
Houston Astros (6–10)
Record: 6–10 overall, 1–8 on the road
Last 5 games: L, L, L, L, L (five‑game losing streak)
Runs per game: 6.1, 2nd in MLB (elite offense)
Pitching:
ERA: 6.32 (30th in MLB)
WHIP: 1.68
HR allowed: 21
Runs allowed: 87 (worst in MLB)
FIP: 5.29
Bullpen: 3 saves, 0 blown saves, but 34.4% inherited runners scored (poor run prevention)
Seattle Mariners (7–9)
Record: 7–9 overall, 6–4 at home
Last 5 games: W, W, W, L, L (3–2)
Recent offense:
OBP: .234
SLG: .221
Hits per game: 4.7
Runs per game: 3.2
Seattle’s bats have been cold, but their pitching has kept them competitive.
Probable Pitchers
Houston — Mike Burrows (RHP)
Record: 1–2
ERA: 5.63
WHIP: 1.75
K/BB: 15 K, 6 BB
HR allowed: 3
Seattle — George Kirby (RHP)
Record: 1–2
ERA: 3.60
WHIP: 0.90
K/BB: 16 K, 5 BB
HR allowed: 3
Pitching Edge: Seattle — Kirby’s elite command and WHIP give him a clear advantage.
Key Player Matchups
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) vs. George Kirby
.340 AVG, 6 HR, 14 RBI, .755 SLG
One of MLB’s hottest hitters early in 2026.
Kirby’s elite strike‑throwing will be tested by Alvarez’s power.
Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Mike Burrows
Raleigh struggling: .135 AVG, .231 SLG, 21 K in 52 PA
But Burrows’ high WHIP and traffic on the bases give Raleigh RBI opportunities.
Astros Offense vs. Mariners Pitching
Astros: .270 AVG, .372 OBP, .449 SLG, 85 runs
Mariners: strong home pitching, but offense has been weak
This is the game’s defining matchup: elite offense vs. elite command.
Series History & Context
Astros enter on a 7‑game road losing streak.
Mariners have won 3 of their last 5.
Kirby has historically pitched well at T‑Mobile Park (inference based on WHIP and home record).
Betting Trends
Houston
0–5 in last 5
Worst ERA in MLB
Elite offense keeps them in games
Seattle
6–4 at home
Offense cold, but pitching strong
Kirby’s WHIP (0.90) is elite
Houston Astros 7.5
Seattle Mariners – 175
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, April 12, 2026
