NHL Game Preview: Dallas Stars (48-20-12) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (32-34-14)

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Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Faceoff is scheduled for 11:30 PM UTC (4:30 PM PT / 7:30 PM ET)

Scotiabank Arena — Toronto, Ontario

Team Records & Season Profile

Dallas Stars (48‑20‑12)

Goals per game: 3.32 (10th)

Goals allowed per game: 2.75 (T‑4th)

Power play: 18.8%

Penalty kill: 79.9%

Faceoff win %: 56.2% (1st in NHL)

Shooting %: 13% (2nd)

Toronto Maple Leafs (32‑34‑14)

Goals per game: 3.28 (13th)

Goals allowed per game: 3.39 (27th)

Power play: 18.8%

Penalty kill: 83.7% (5th)

Shots on goal: 27.3 per game

Injury Report

No injuries were listed in the available sources for either team.
(If you want, I can run a fresh injury‑specific search.)

Recent Team Form

Dallas Stars

Coming off a 5–4 win over Minnesota, converting 5 goals on 20 shots.

Season totals:

262 goals scored (9th in NHL)

214 goals allowed

68 PP goals on 238 chances (28.57%)

Save %: .897

Toronto Maple Leafs

Coming off a 5–3 loss to the Islanders, scoring 3 goals on 16 shots.

Season totals:

244 goals scored

280 goals allowed

204 even‑strength goals

40 PP goals (25th in NHL)

Goaltending Matchup

Dallas — Jake Oettinger (Projected)

Career record: 182‑78‑33

Career GAA: 2.53

Career SV%: .910

Quality starts: 172 (.585 QS%)

Toronto — Joseph Woll / Dennis Hildeby (Likely Rotation)

Toronto’s goaltending has been inconsistent; no specific starter was listed in sources.

Team save percentage: .912 (from Sofascore stats)

Edge: Dallas — Oettinger is significantly more stable and experienced.

Key Player Matchups

1. Jason Robertson (DAL) vs. William Nylander (TOR)

Robertson: 79 points, 36 goals (team leader)

Nylander: 63 points, 40 assists

Advantage: Dallas — Robertson’s finishing ability is elite.

2. Miro Heiskanen (DAL) vs. Jake McCabe (TOR)

Heiskanen: 25:49 TOI (elite workload)

McCabe: 154 blocks, 22:20 TOI

Advantage: Dallas — Heiskanen drives possession and transition play.

3. Dallas Faceoff Dominance vs. Toronto’s Offensive Push

Stars FO%: 56.2% (1st in NHL)

Leafs FO%: 52.2% (5th)

Advantage: Dallas — controlling draws means controlling tempo.

Series History

Previous matchup: Dallas won 5–1 on Dec 21, 2025.

Betting Trends

Dallas Stars

7‑3‑0 in last 10 games (from team streaks).

Elite shooting efficiency (13%).

Strong on the road (18‑7‑6).

Toronto Maple Leafs

4‑5‑1 in last 10 games.

Defensive struggles: 3.39 GA/G (27th).

Home record: 16‑9‑6.

Game Odds

Dallas Stars                         – 170

Toronto Maple Leafs      6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, April 12, 2026