Venue
Keeneland Race Course
Lexington, Kentucky — world‑class turf sprinting venue with a tight, fast 5½‑furlong configuration.
Scheduled Post Time is 5:49 PM ET
Purse $400,000 (Grade II Turf Sprint)
Distance 5½ furlongs on turf (3‑year‑olds & up)
Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)
No race‑specific weather data was provided in the sources.
Typical early‑April Lexington conditions:
55–64°F
Light breeze
Turf likely FIRM barring rain
(Inference only — not sourced.)
Full Field Analysis (12 Horses)
PP #1 — Clock Tower (20/1)
Pedigree: Not This Time – Hot Stones
Age: 4‑year‑old gelding
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Walter A. Rodriguez
Trainer: Wesley A. Ward
Analysis:
Ward is elite with turf sprinters, but Clock Tower faces a steep class test. Has early foot but must improve significantly to contend. Longshot.
PP #2 — My Boy Prince (6/1)
Pedigree: Cairo Prince – Hopping Not Hoping
Age: 5‑year‑old gelding
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Trainer: Mark Casse
Analysis:
A classy turf sprinter with strong tactical speed. Ortiz fits him perfectly. A major contender if he breaks sharply.
PP #3 — Its Bourbon Thirty (15/1)
Pedigree: Outwork – Seattle Artist
Age: 5‑year‑old gelding
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Luan Machado
Trainer: Jeremiah O’Dwyer
Analysis:
A mid‑price runner with improving turf sprint form. Needs a perfect trip. Exotics player.
PP #4 — Yellow Card (10/1)
Pedigree: Lost Treasure (IRE) – Paris Girl
Age: 5‑year‑old horse
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Flavien Prat
Trainer: Michael McCarthy
Analysis:
Prat is one of the best turf riders in America. Yellow Card has strong European‑style turf breeding and a sharp turn of foot. Live upset threat.
PP #5 — Bear River (12/1)
Pedigree: Flameaway – Sixtyfivenorth
Age: 5‑year‑old ridgling
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: James Graham
Trainer: J. Keith Desormeaux
Analysis:
A gritty sprinter with strong late pace. Needs a hot early tempo. Value play.
PP #6 — Heart Headed (15/1)
Pedigree: Oscar Performance – La Malaguena
Age: 5‑year‑old horse
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Trainer: Joe Sharp
Analysis:
Ortiz is a major upgrade. Oscar Performance progeny excel on firm turf. A dangerous mid‑price contender.
PP #7 — Mondogetsbuckets (10/1)
Pedigree: Omaha Beach – My Miss Chiff
Age: 5‑year‑old gelding
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Trainer: Chris Block
Analysis:
Gaffalione is lethal at Keeneland. Mondogetsbuckets has strong finishing ability and fits the race shape. Top‑four threat.
PP #8 — Litigation (4/1)
Pedigree: Twirling Candy – Argue
Age: 4‑year‑old colt
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Mario Gutierrez
Trainer: Brian Lynch
Analysis:
The second choice on the morning line. Lynch is elite with turf sprinters. Litigation has the right blend of tactical speed and finishing kick. Major win contender.
PP #9 — No Nay Hudson (15/1)
Pedigree: No Nay Never – Raw Silk
Age: 6‑year‑old gelding
Weight: 124 lbs
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Trainer: Wesley A. Ward
Analysis:
A proven turf sprinter with back‑class. Rosario’s patient style suits him. Could surprise if pace collapses. Live longshot.
PP #10 — Rezasrolex (12/1)
Pedigree: Reza’s Rolex – (dam not listed)
Age: 5‑year‑old
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Edgard Zayas
Trainer: Joseph Orseno
Analysis:
A sharp sprinter with strong recent form. Zayas is underrated on turf. Exotics contender.
PP #11 — Joe Shiesty (5/1)
Pedigree: Works For Me – (dam not listed)
Age: 5‑year‑old
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz
Trainer: Eric Foster
Analysis:
A consistent turf sprinter with strong speed figures. Should sit a perfect stalking trip. Win threat.
PP #12 — Usually Wrong (10/1)
Pedigree: Usually Wrong – (dam not listed)
Age: 5‑year‑old
Weight: 122 lbs
Jockey: Isaac Castillo
Trainer: Robertino Diodoro
Analysis:
Diodoro is a high‑percentage trainer. Usually Wrong has strong late pace and could blow up the trifecta. Value longshot.
Track Conditions & Recent Form Summary
Keeneland turf typically plays FIRM and fair in early April (inference).
Several runners (Litigation, Yellow Card, Joe Shiesty) enter in strong form per Racing Post ratings.
Pace projects to be fast, favoring stalkers and closers.
Exacta Recommendations
8 over 2, 4, 11
11 over 8, 2
Trifecta Structure
8 / 2, 11 / 2, 4, 6, 11
11 / 8 / 2, 4, 6
