Venue: Aqueduct Racetrack, Ozone Park, Queens, NY
Scheduled Post Time: 5:56 PM ET
Purse: $200,000
Distance: 1 1/8 miles (dirt)
Conditions: Fillies, 3‑years‑old; Lasix prohibited within 48 hours per HISA Rule 4212
This race is a major Kentucky Oaks prep, awarding 100–50–25–15–10 qualifying points to the top five finishers.
Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)
No official weather data was provided in the retrieved sources.
Typical early‑April Aqueduct conditions:
Low–mid 50s°F
Light winds
Possible overcast
This usually produces a fair, slightly speed‑favoring dirt surface.
(Inference only — not sourced.)
Full Field Analysis (9 Fillies)
PP #1 — Paradise (5/2)
Jockey: Manuel Franco
Trainer: Brad Cox
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Gun Runner – Venetian Harbor (by Munnings)
Analysis:
A blue‑blooded filly from a powerhouse barn. Gun Runner progeny excel at two‑turn dirt routes, and the dam Venetian Harbor was a Grade I‑placed sprinter/miler. Franco is NYRA’s most reliable big‑race rider. Paradise projects a stalking trip and is a top win contender.
PP #2 — Always a Runner (4/1)
Jockey: Dylan Davis
Trainer: Chad Brown
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Gun Runner – Always Carina (by Malibu Moon)
Analysis:
Chad Brown rarely enters a Gazelle filly unless she’s live. Strong pedigree for routing, and Davis rides Aqueduct extremely well. Expect her to sit mid‑pack and grind home. A major threat.
PP #3 — Nycon (6/1)
Jockey: Jaime A. Torres
Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Nyquist – Raise the Flag (by Awesome Again)
Analysis:
Nyquist offspring often show tactical speed and stamina. Nycon has the pedigree to stretch out and could be a value play if she improves second time routing.
PP #4 — Two Bits (9/2)
Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez
Trainer: Amelia J. Green
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: American Pharoah – Spare Change (by Bernardini)
Analysis:
American Pharoah × Bernardini is elite classic‑distance breeding. Two Bits should relish 1 1/8 miles. If she gets a clean stalking trip, she’s a serious upset candidate.
PP #5 — Baffle (12/1)
Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Violence – Please Flatter Me (by Munnings)
Analysis:
Pletcher has won this race multiple times. Baffle is lightly raced and improving. Carmouche is dangerous on the front end at Aqueduct. A live longshot.
PP #6 — Pashmina (7/2)
Jockey: Ramon A. Vazquez
Trainer: Rob Atras
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Constitution – Panthera Onca (by Super Saver)
Analysis:
Constitution fillies are strong at middle distances. Pashmina has the right running style for the Gazelle—tactical, consistent, and improving. A top‑three contender.
PP #7 — Hot Gossip (20/1)
Jockey: Jose Lezcano
Trainer: Linda Rice
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Curlin – Fixate (by Bodemeister)
Analysis:
Curlin fillies improve with distance and maturity. Hot Gossip is bred to run all day but may lack the speed of the top contenders. Best used underneath in trifectas.
PP #8 — Victory Hall (20/1)
Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.
Trainer: Thomas Morley
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Independence Hall – (dam by TBD)
Analysis:
A longshot with some upside. Santana is a strong stakes rider, but Victory Hall must improve significantly to contend. A deep exotic option.
🐎 PP #9 — Slow Kara (12/1)
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.
Weight: 123 lbs
Pedigree: Gun Runner – (dam by TBD)
Analysis:
Castellano + Gun Runner is a dangerous combination. Slow Kara has the pedigree and rider to outrun her odds. A sneaky upset possibility if pace collapses.
Recent Finishes & Track Conditions
The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes.
However:
All fillies carry 123 lbs per stakes conditions.
Aqueduct’s dirt in early April typically plays fair, with slight preference to tactical speed (inference).
Exacta Recommendations
1 over 6, 2, 4
6 over 1, 2
Trifecta Structure
1 / 6, 2 / 4, 9, 5
6 / 1 / 2, 4, 9
