NHL Game Preview: Philadelphia Flyers (28-22-11) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (31-17-13)

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Pittsburgh Penguins logo

Game Details

  • Puck drop is scheduled for 5:30 PM ET (2:30 PM PT)
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+, SN-PIT, NBCSP

This Metropolitan Division rivalry game features the Philadelphia Flyers visiting the Pittsburgh Penguins in a crucial matchup for playoff positioning. The Penguins, despite injuries, aim to leverage their strong home form against a Flyers team dealing with key absences but showing resilience in recent outings.

Recent Team Forms

The Penguins have cooled off after a hot streak, while the Flyers have shown mixed results but struggled defensively in losses.

Philadelphia Flyers (4-4-2 in last 10 games): The Flyers average 2.8 goals per game overall but have allowed 3.1 recently, with a 15.9% power play (29th) and 79.3% penalty kill (15th). They’ve trended under in 6 of their last 7 games and are 4-6 ATS. Key recent results:

  • Mar 5 vs. UTA: L 0-3 (shutout loss; outshot 35-23)
  • Mar 3 @ TOR: W 3-2 (SO) (Noah Cates: G + A)
  • Mar 2 vs. CBJ: L 2-3
  • Feb 28 @ DAL: L 2-3
  • Feb 26 vs. CHI: W 4-2
  • Feb 24 @ WSH: L 2-4
  • Feb 22 vs. MIN: L 5-6
  • Feb 20 @ STL: W 6-5
  • Feb 18 @ NYI: W 4-3
  • Feb 15 @ NJD: L 2-3

Philadelphia has gone under in 6 of their last 7 and is 3-5 SU on the road lately.

Pittsburgh Penguins (5-3-2 in last 10 games): The Penguins average 3.3 goals per game while allowing 2.8, with a 25.3% power play (6th) and 84.5% penalty kill (2nd). They’re on a two-game skid but 6-4 ATS. Key recent results:

  • Mar 5 @ BUF: L 1-5 (heavy defeat; outscored 20-8 in recent losses)
  • Mar 3 vs. VGK: L 3-4 (OT)
  • Mar 2 vs. FLA: W 3-2 (OT)
  • Feb 28 @ TBL: W 6-2
  • Feb 27 @ FLA: W 3-2
  • Feb 25 @ NJD: W 3-2
  • Feb 23 vs. FLA: W 3-2 (OT)
  • Feb 22 @ TBL: W 6-2
  • Feb 20 vs. VGK: L 2-3
  • Feb 18 vs. PIT: W 2-1

Pittsburgh trends over in 5 of their last 7 home games vs. Western teams but under overall recently.

Injury Report

Injuries severely impact Pittsburgh’s core, while Philadelphia manages forward depth issues.

Philadelphia Flyers:

  • Tyson Foerster (RW): Out (Arm; expected to miss extended time)
  • Rodrigo Abols (C): Out (Ankle; fractured, out indefinitely)
  • Nick Seeler (D): Day-to-Day (Lower Body; game-time decision)
  • Travis Konecny (RW): Day-to-Day (Upper Body; game-time decision)

Pittsburgh Penguins:

  • Sidney Crosby (C): Out (Lower Body/Leg; on IR, expected out at least four weeks/Mar 26)
  • Filip Hallander (C): Out (Leg; on IR, expected out until at least Mar 8)
  • Jack St. Ivany (D): Out (Hand; on IR post-surgery)
  • Blake Lizotte (C): Out (Lower Body)
  • Rickard Rakell (C): Out (Lower Body)
  • Bryan Rust (RW): Out (Lower Body)
  • Caleb Jones (D): Out (Suspension/Lower Body)

Key Player Matchups

With Crosby sidelined, the focus shifts to Pittsburgh’s depth against Philadelphia’s young talent. Special teams could be pivotal given both teams’ PK strengths.

  1. Travis Konecny (PHI, RW) vs. Evgeni Malkin (PIT, C): Konecny (day-to-day; projected 25+ goals) leads Philly’s offense with speed and scoring (high SOG). Malkin (recent multi-point games) steps up as Pittsburgh’s top center, using vision and power to exploit mismatches.
  2. Matvei Michkov (PHI, RW) vs. Erik Karlsson (PIT, D): Michkov (rookie sensation, 20+ points est.) brings creativity and shot volume. Karlsson (defensive quarterback, 40+ points) must contain Michkov’s rushes while adding offense (25+ min TOI).
  3. Owen Tippett (PHI, RW) vs. Kris Letang (PIT, D): Tippett (speedy scorer, 15+ goals) thrives in transition. Letang (recently activated from IR; physical defender) anchors Pittsburgh’s blue line, aiming to limit Tippett’s space.

Other notables: Samuel Ersson (PHI G: .905 SV%) vs. Tristan Jarry (PIT G: strong home form); Sean Couturier (PHI) vs. Michael Bunting (PIT) for gritty play.

Series History

Philadelphia leads the all-time series 189-126-30-14 (including playoffs), with a regular-season edge of 168-106-30-14. Postseason: 21-20 PHI. The rivalry intensified with four playoff meetings from 2008-2018. Recent trends favor Pittsburgh at home (points in 10 straight vs. PHI, 8-0-2 since 2021). Key recent results:

  • Jan 15, 2026: PIT 5-3 @ PHI
  • Dec 1, 2025: PIT 5-1 @ PHI
  • Nov 8, 2025: PIT 3-1 vs. PHI
  • Mar 30, 2025: PHI 2-1 @ PIT (last Flyers win)

Pittsburgh is 6-13 SU in last 19 overall but strong at home; overs in 9 of PHI’s last 13 road games.

Betting Trends

  • Puck Line: Flyers have covered +1.5 in 6 of last 7 as underdogs.
  • Total: Under has hit in 6 of Flyers’ last 7 and 4 of Penguins’ last 5 home games.
  • ATS Trends: Penguins 36-23 ATS overall (18-11 home); Flyers 32-26 ATS (11-18 away); PHI 6-13 SU last 19 vs. PIT.

Game Odds

Philadelphia Flyers         5.5

Pittsburgh Penguins       – 142

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, March 6, 2026