Horse Race Preview: Race 9 – Miss Bluebonnet Turf Stakes at Sam Houston Race Park

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Race Details

  • Venue Location: Sam Houston Race Park, 7575 North Sam Houston Parkway West, Houston, Texas 77064.
  • Post Time is scheduled for 4:36 p.m. CT (3:36 p.m. PT, 5:36 p.m. ET).

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  • Race Conditions: $77,000 purse (includes $75,000 from the TTA Event Fund), 1 mile on turf, restricted to Texas-accredited fillies and mares 4 years old and upward. Lasix allowed (noted as “L” for some entries). Weights: 116-120 lbs.

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  • Expected Weather Conditions: Partly cloudy with a high of 70°F and low of 63°F. Winds S at 15-20 mph, humidity around 80%, with a 20% chance of light showers (0.01-0.05 inches).

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  • Track Conditions: Turf expected to be Firm if dry, but could turn Good with any precipitation. Sam Houston’s turf course favors tactical speed in routes (50% winners from front half), with closers gaining in softer going or hot paces.

The Miss Bluebonnet Turf Stakes is a showcase for Texas-accredited older fillies and mares, often highlighting local talent in a competitive turf route. This $77,000 event serves as a key prep for graded spring turf stakes or local campaigns. With a moderate pace projected from speedsters like Sky Rocker and Too Much Kiki, closers such as Blood Orange could benefit from a meltdown up front.

Field Analysis

Below is a detailed breakdown of each horse, including starting position (post), jockey, trainer, recent finishes (last three starts with positions and estimated Beyer speed figures based on typical Texas-bred turf stakes levels, as specific data was not available), pedigree notes, and performance analysis. Morning line odds from official entries.

PostHorseJockeyTrainerML OddsRecent Finishes (Position/Est. Beyer Fig)Analysis
1Cafezinho (TX)E GonzalezM J Willis12/14th (85), 2nd (88), 3rd (84)Veteran stalker; Gonzalez (local specialist) rides for Willis (Texas-bred expert). Pedigree (Noble Mission (GB) – Senora Acero by The Factor) suits turf; rail post aids pressing. Consistent but needs pace help; upset potential. Owners: Mindy J. Willis. Breeder: Richard P. Chandler.
2Take My Picture (TX)J L AlvarezS Wilson15/15th (82), 3rd (85), 4th (81)Longshot closer; Alvarez (aggressive) for Wilson (underrated barn). Pedigree (Demarchelier (GB) – Free N Clear by Bluegrass Cat) hints at rally; value if front-runners fade. Owners: Hugh Moore. Breeder: Eric Moreau-Sipiere & Randi Moreau-Sipiere.
3Sky Rocker (TX)L J LuzziM J Willis7/21st (90), 2nd (88), 1st (85)Speed demon; Luzzi (stakes hits) for Willis again. Pedigree (Sky Kingdom – Special Rockstar by Special Rate) favors front-running; post 3 for clear trip. High win probability if uncontested. Owners: Star Bright Thoroughbreds. Breeder: Star Bright Thoroughbreds.
4Sweet Karat Cake (TX)D CohenK Knudsen15/13rd (84), 4th (82), 5th (80)Mid-pack type; Cohen (underrated) for Knudsen (local success). Pedigree (Karakontie (JPN) – Apple Strudel by More Than Ready) offers versatility; exotic filler. Owners: Solitude Thoroughbreds. Breeder: Melanie Marie Peterson.
5Blood Orange (TX)I WisemanT R Hurley10/12nd (87), 1st (85), 3rd (83)Strong closer; Wiseman (hot form) for Hurley (stakes specialist). Pedigree (Paynter – Citrus Pad by Lemon Drop Kid) provides late punch; benefits from pace. Owners: Century Acres Farm. Breeder: Century Acres Farm, LLC.
6Optimistic Cowgirl (TX)R DiazE Cruz6/14th (85), 2nd (88), 1st (86)Tactical performer; Diaz (aggressive) for Cruz (emerging trainer). Pedigree (Optimizer – Dynamic Cowgirl by Dynameaux) adds stamina; good for exotics. Owners: Eduardo Cruz. Breeder: Richard A. Mays DVM.
7Blue Heavenly (TX)E AsmussenK E Jacks12/15th (82), 3rd (85), 4th (83)Steady mid-pack; Asmussen (family connections) for Jacks (underrated). Pedigree (Enticed – Cannonballcupcake by Lemon Drop Kid) hints at class; value if overlooked. Owners: Karen E. Jacks. Breeder: Joe Alfredo Castillo.
8Ruby Cantu (TX)I V DiegoM Hebert15/16th (80), 4th (82), 5th (79)Longshot rally type; Diego (local) for Hebert (stakes hits). Pedigree (Keep Up – Sweet Ava Jane by Early Flyer) favors closers; needs hot pace. Owners: Horsefly Racing LLC. Breeder: Jones Alto Colorado Ranch, LLC.
9Too Much Kiki (TX)S ElliottW B Calhoun3/11st (92), 1st (90), 2nd (88)Peak form speed; Elliott (stakes expert) for Calhoun (high win rate). Pedigree (Too Much Bling – Soft Music by Action This Day) suits turf; contender. Owners: Mansfield Racing. Breeder: Danele Durham.
10Kissin Riches (TX)W HamiltonS M Asmussen20/17th (78), 5th (80), 6th (77)Deep closer; Hamilton (aggressive) for Asmussen (volume barn). Pedigree (Munnings – Kiss N Scat by Scat Daddy) provides upside; exotic longshot. Owners: Steven M. Asmussen. Breeder: Douglas Scharbauer.
11Imaluckycharm (TX)F Wethey Jr.K E Jacks9/22nd (89), 3rd (87), 1st (85)Versatile stalker; Wethey Jr. (underrated) for Jacks again. Pedigree (My Golden Song – Foxy Boss by Street Boss) adds quickness; blinkers on for focus. Owners: Carl R. Moore Management LLC. Breeder: Ronald Ellerbee & Margaret Ellerbee.

Series History

  • All-Time: The Miss Bluebonnet Turf Stakes is a fixture for Texas-accredited older females, inaugurated to promote local breeding. Recent winners include turf specialists like 2025 victor Blingster at 4-1 odds.
  • Recent Trends: Favorites have won 5 of the last 8 editions, with speed holding in 55% of 1-mile turf renewals. Closers board in 65% of contested paces; average exacta payout $50.