Game Details
- Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (6:30 p.m. CT local time).
- Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
- TV/Streaming: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK (local for Thunder).
This matchup pits the struggling Milwaukee Bucks against the dominant Oklahoma City Thunder in the final game for both teams before the 2026 NBA All-Star break. The Thunder, atop the Western Conference, host a Bucks team that’s fighting to stay relevant in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. With both squads missing their superstar MVPs due to injuries, this could be a gritty, defense-oriented affair, though Oklahoma City’s depth gives them a clear edge.
Recent Team Forms
Both teams enter on the second night of back-to-backs, which could impact energy levels.
- Milwaukee Bucks (Last 10 Games: 5-5): The Bucks have shown signs of life recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games after a rough stretch. They’ve gone 4-6 in their last 10 played games, with a focus on improved defense in wins. Key results:
- Feb 11: W 116-108 @ Orlando (strong shooting from newcomers Cam Thomas and Ousmane Dieng).
- Feb 9: L 99-118 @ Orlando (poor rebounding and turnovers).
- Feb 6: W 105-99 vs. Indiana (clutch defense in the fourth quarter).
- Feb 4: W 141-137 (OT) vs. New Orleans (high-scoring outburst).
- Feb 3: W 131-115 vs. Chicago (efficient 3-point shooting at 60.5%).
- Earlier losses to Boston (79-107), Washington (99-109), and Philadelphia (122-139) exposed offensive inconsistencies without key players. Milwaukee averages 111.8 PPG (27th in NBA) but has ramped up to 119.8 PPG in their last five wins, with better ball movement (26+ assists in three of those). However, they’ve struggled on the road (10-18) and in back-to-backs (4-3 ATS).
- Oklahoma City Thunder (Last 10 Games: 7-3): The Thunder have been rolling, winning 7 of their last 10 with a current two-game win streak. They’ve gone 5-5 in some stretches but maintain elite form overall, outscoring opponents by double digits routinely. Key results:
- Feb 11: W 136-109 @ Phoenix (dominant shooting, 28 points from Jalen Williams before injury).
- Feb 9: W 119-110 vs. Los Angeles Lakers (balanced scoring without SGA).
- Feb 7: L vs. Houston (rare defensive lapse).
- Feb 4: W @ San Antonio (strong rebounding).
- Feb 3: W vs. Orlando (efficient offense). Oklahoma City leads the league in scoring (122.5 PPG est.) and defense (allowing 103.9 PPG), with a 22-5 home record. They’ve won 8 of their last 10 at Paycom Center, covering the spread in 6 of those.
Injury Report
Injuries loom large, depriving fans of a Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showdown.
- Milwaukee Bucks:
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (right calf strain): Out (missing 9th straight game; re-evaluated post-All-Star break).
- Taurean Prince (neck surgery): Out.
- Ryan Rollins (right foot): Out. The Bucks are 4-5 without Giannis this season, relying on perimeter scoring.
- Oklahoma City Thunder:
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal strain): Out (missing 5th straight; re-evaluated post-All-Star break).
- Ajay Mitchell (abdominal strain): Out.
- Thomas Sorber (torn ACL): Out for season.
- Nikola Topic (groin): Out.
- Jalen Williams (right hamstring strain): Day-to-day (exited Feb 11 game early; likely rested on back-to-back).
- Chet Holmgren (left shoulder): Questionable (exited Feb 11 game; precautionary, but status uncertain). The Thunder are 4-1 without SGA recently, thanks to depth.
Both teams have yet to submit final reports due to the back-to-back, but expect cautious approaches pre-break.
Key Player Matchups
Without their MVPs, this game shifts to supporting casts. Focus on perimeter battles and interior control.
- Damian Lillard (Bucks) vs. Luguentz Dort (Thunder): Lillard (assuming he’s active; no injury noted) averages 24.5 PPG but has struggled without Giannis (shooting 42% FG). Dort’s elite defense could limit him, forcing turnovers. Lillard’s quickness vs. Dort’s physicality will dictate Milwaukee’s offense.
- Cam Thomas (Bucks) vs. Isaiah Joe/Aaron Wiggins (Thunder): Thomas, a recent acquisition, dropped 28 points in his Bucks debut (Feb 11 win). His scoring (22.5 PPG career) faces OKC’s wing depth. If Wiggins starts, his length could disrupt Thomas’s mid-range game.
- Brook Lopez (Bucks) vs. Chet Holmgren (Thunder, if active): Lopez (12.5 PPG, 2.0 BPG) provides rim protection, but Holmgren (16.5 PPG, 2.5 BPG) dominates with mobility. If Holmgren sits, Lopez could exploit mismatches against backups like Jaylin Williams.
- Ousmane Dieng (Bucks) vs. Jalen Williams (Thunder, if active): Dieng, another new Buck, added 22 points off the bench recently. J-Dub (19.5 PPG) is explosive but injury-prone; if out, Dieng could feast on second-unit minutes.
- Bench Battle: Thunder’s depth (Cason Wallace, Dillon Brooks) vs. Bucks’ revamped unit (Kuzma, Sims). OKC benches average 45+ PPG.
Series History
- All-Time: Tied 77-77 in 154 regular-season meetings.
- Recent: Oklahoma City has won the last 4 matchups, including a 122-102 victory on Jan 21, 2026 (SGA 40 points). The Thunder are 26-21 vs. Milwaukee since 2005.
- At Paycom Center: OKC 22-5 home this season; Bucks 10-18 on road.
- Playoffs: Thunder lead 4-3 all-time, but no recent postseason clashes.
Oklahoma City holds the edge, covering the spread in 3 of the last 4 vs. Milwaukee.
Betting Trends
- Spread:
- OKC: 35-20 ATS this season (best in NBA), 18-9 ATS at home, 4-1 ATS without SGA.
- Milwaukee: 23-29 ATS, 12-16 ATS on road, 4-5 ATS without Giannis.
- OKC games: 28-27 to over; averages 226.4 total points.
- Milwaukee games: 25-27 to over; lower without Giannis (averages 212.5 totals).
- Last 5 head-to-head: 3 overs, but recent games under due to injuries.
- Trends: Thunder 8-2 ATS in last 10 home games; Bucks 4-3 ATS in back-to-backs.
Game Odds
Milwaukee Bucks 215.5
Oklahoma City Thunder – 12.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, February 11, 2026
