NBA Game Preview: Houston Rockets (31-19) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (35-16)

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The Houston Rockets face the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder in a Western Conference showdown, with both teams dealing with significant injuries to key players. Houston aims for its fourth straight road win, while OKC looks to rebound from a recent loss and maintain its strong home record. This matinee features Kevin Durant’s return to OKC, adding intrigue to a matchup between contrasting styles: the Rockets’ veteran-led offense versus the Thunder’s efficient, depth-driven attack.

Venue Location

Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK. This is a home game for the Thunder.

Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET (12:30 PM PT).

Injury Report

Both teams are heavily impacted by injuries, with OKC missing its top scorers and Houston without key veterans. This could lead to a lower-scoring affair as depth players step up.

Houston Rockets Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury Details
Fred VanVleetOutTorn ACL; expected to miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Steven AdamsOutLeft ankle surgery; out for the season.
Jae’Sean TateOutLeft wrist contusion.
Tristen NewtonOutG League two-way assignment.

Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries:

PlayerStatusInjury Details
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOutAbdominal strain; expected to be re-evaluated after the All-Star break.
Jalen WilliamsOutRight hamstring strain.
Ajay MitchellOutAbdominal strain.
Nikola TopicOutGroin/testicular surgery recovery.
Thomas SorberOutTorn ACL; out for the season.

Player Matchups to Watch

With stars sidelined, this game shifts focus to big men and wings. OKC’s efficiency (No. 1 in PPG) meets Houston’s rebounding prowess (No. 1 in RPG), but injuries could force reliance on role players like Jared McCain’s debut for Thunder.

  • Kevin Durant (HOU) vs. Chet Holmgren (OKC): Durant’s scoring (recent 31 PTS) faces Holmgren’s defense (elite rim protection). Durant’s OKC homecoming adds narrative.
  • Alperen Sengun (HOU) vs. Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC, if available): Sengun’s playmaking vs. Hartenstein’s rebounding; could dominate the paint without Adams.
  • Amen Thompson (HOU) vs. Jared McCain (OKC debut): Thompson’s athleticism vs. McCain’s scoring; a youth battle with SGA/JDub out.
  • Other Notes: Aaron Wiggins (OKC) could exploit mismatches; Tari Eason (HOU) for defensive energy.

Recent Team Forms

Rockets are middling lately but strong on the road; Thunder have cooled off, going 5-5 amid injuries.

Houston Rockets (6-4 in last 10 games, averaging 108.6 PPG, allowing 108.8 PPG):

DateOpponentResultScore
Feb 5vs CHAL99-109
Feb 4vs BOSL93-114
Feb 1@ DALW115-110
Jan 30vs MEMW112-105
Jan 28@ SASW108-102
Jan 25vs NOPL105-112
Jan 23@ DENW120-115
Jan 21vs LACL102-110
Jan 19@ UTAW118-105
Jan 16vs MINW110-105

Oklahoma City Thunder (5-5 in last 10 games, averaging 116.3 PPG, allowing 108.5 PPG):

DateOpponentResultScore
Feb 4@ SASL106-116
Feb 3vs ORLW128-92
Feb 1@ DENW121-111
Jan 29@ MINL111-123
Jan 27vs NOPW104-95
Jan 25vs TORL101-103
Jan 23vs INDL114-117
Jan 21@ MILW122-102
Jan 19@ CLEW136-104
Jan 17@ MIAL120-122

Series History

Thunder lead all-time 126-119. OKC is 2-0 this season, with close and dominant wins.

DateLocationResultScore
Jan 15, 2026vs OKC (HOU home)L (HOU)91-111
Oct 21, 2025@ OKCL (HOU)124-125 (2OT)
Apr 4, 2025vs OKC (HOU home)W (HOU)125-111
Mar 3, 2025@ OKCL (HOU)128-137
Feb 27, 2025vs OKC (HOU home)W (HOU)112-108

Rockets have won 3 of the last 7 overall.

Betting Trends

Thunder are favorites despite injuries, but trends favor unders in low-scoring games. OKC is 28-24 ATS overall, 18-8 at home; Houston 27-23 ATS, 15-12 on road.

  • ATS Trends: Thunder 5-5 ATS last 10; Rockets 6-4 ATS last 10. OKC 3-2 ATS as home favorites lately.
  • O/U Trends: Over hit in 6 of Thunder’s last 10; under in 7 of Rockets’ last 10 road games.

Game Odds

Houston Rockets                              229.5

Oklahoma City Thunder                – 3.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, February 6, 2026