NHL Game Preview: Ottawa Senators (26-21-7) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (28-14-11)

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Pittsburgh Penguins logo

The Ottawa Senators (26-21-7, 59 points, 7th in Atlantic Division) face the Pittsburgh Penguins (28-14-11, 67 points, 2nd in Metropolitan Division) in an Eastern Conference matchup on Monday night. The Senators are riding a three-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 16-4 in that span, while the Penguins aim to extend their six-game winning streak before the Olympic break. This is the second meeting this season, with Ottawa winning the first 4-0 on December 19, 2025.

Venue Location

PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Puck drop is scheduled for nhl.com 7:00 p.m. ET (4:00 p.m. PT).

The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, SN-PIT, TVAS, TSN5, with radio on 105.9 The X and CJCL 590 AM.

Injury Report

Both teams are dealing with key absences, particularly on defense for Pittsburgh.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusReason
SenatorsThomas ChabotDDay-To-DayUndisclosed
SenatorsDavid PerronLWOut/IRGroin/Sports Hernia (surgery, out 5-7 weeks; expected return Mar 14)
PenguinsKris LetangDOut/IRFoot fracture (out at least 4 weeks; expected return Feb 28)
PenguinsJack St. IvanyDOut/IRHand surgery (expected return Mar 26)
PenguinsBryan RustRWOutSuspension (final game of 3-game suspension; returns Feb 3)
PenguinsRyan GravesDOut/IRLower Body (expected return Feb 5)
PenguinsFilip HallanderCOut/IRLeg (blood clot; expected return Feb 26)

Ottawa’s Ullmark returned recently and is expected in goal.

Pittsburgh’s Letang injury thins their blue line significantly.

Key

Player Matchups

Pittsburgh’s offense faces Ottawa’s surging attack in a battle of veteran leadership vs. young talent. Projected starting lineups (based on recent rotations and injuries):

PositionSenatorsPenguins
LWBrady TkachukRickard Rakell
CShane PintoSidney Crosby
RWClaude GirouxAnthony Mantha
DJake SandersonErik Karlsson
DTyler KlevenMarcus Pettersson
GLinus UllmarkStuart Skinner

Key matchups to watch:

Sidney Crosby vs. Shane Pinto: Crosby (team-leading 25G, 35A projection) anchors Pittsburgh’s attack, with 4 points in his last 3 games. Pinto (recent hot streak) must contain him, but Crosby’s experience gives the edge.

Brady Tkachuk vs. Erik Karlsson: Tkachuk (24G, physical presence) leads Ottawa’s offense and could exploit Pittsburgh’s depleted defense. Karlsson (offensive D-man) projects for high ice time but faces Tkachuk’s net-front battles.

Jake Sanderson vs. Evgeni Malkin: Sanderson (defensive stalwart) must handle Malkin’s playmaking (projects 20+ points recently). Malkin’s veteran savvy could create openings.

Overall: Penguins’ scoring vs. Senators’ goaltending: Pittsburgh averages 3.40 GPG during streak, but Ottawa’s Ullmark (recent .963 SV%) could stifle them. Power play: PIT 22% vs. OTT’s 81% PK.

Recent Team Forms

Pittsburgh is red-hot, while Ottawa has rebounded strongly.

Senators’ Last 10 Games (6-3-1 record):

1/31 vs NJD: W 4-1

1/28 vs COL: W 5-2

1/25 vs VGK: W 7-1

1/24 vs CAR: L 4-1

1/22 @ NSH: L 5-3

1/20 @ CBJ: W 4-1

1/18 @ DET: L 4-3

1/17 vs MTL: L 6-5

1/14 @ NYR: W 8-4

1/13 vs VAN: W 2-1

Overall: 6-4 ATS in last 10, Over in 6 of last 10. Ottawa averages 4.3 GPG in wins during 3-0 streak.

Penguins’ Last 10 Games (8-1-1 record):

1/31 vs NYR: W 6-5

1/29 vs CHI: W 6-2

1/25 @ VAN: W 3-2

1/22 @ EDM: W 6-2

1/21 @ CGY: W 4-1

1/20 @ SEA: W 6-3

1/18 vs CBJ: L 4-3

1/15 vs PHI: W 6-3

1/13 vs TBL: L 2-1 (OT)

1/11 @ BOS: L 1-0

Overall: 7-3 ATS in last 10, Over in 7 of last 10. Pittsburgh averages 4.5 GPG during 6-0 streak.

Series History

Pittsburgh leads the all-time series 79-54-9-3 (including playoffs), with 62-37-19 in regular season.

However, Ottawa has dominated recently, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings (including 4-0 this season).

Pittsburgh has points in 16 of last 22 vs. Ottawa (10-6-6), and 14-3-1 in last 18 home games against them. The Under has hit in 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads.

Betting Trends

Puck Line (ATS): Pittsburgh 24-29 ATS this season (13-14 at home), Ottawa 28-26 ATS (12-15 on road).

Over/Under: Over has hit in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 and 6 of Ottawa’s last 10; Under in 4 of last 5 head-to-heads.

Other trends: 55% of bets on Penguins ML, but 60% of money on Ottawa +1.5; Pittsburgh 6-0 SU in last 6, Ottawa 3-0 SU in last 3.

Game Odds

Ottawa Senators              – 118

Pittsburgh Penguins       6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, February 1, 2026