NHL Game Preview: Vegas Golden Knights (24-13-12) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (24-17-9)

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Toronto Maple Leafs logo

The Vegas Golden Knights face the Toronto Maple Leafs in an interconference clash on Friday, January 23, 2026. Vegas, atop the Pacific Division, looks to rebound from a two-game skid and continue their strong road play, while Toronto aims to snap a two-game home losing streak amid defensive injuries. This is the second meeting of the season, with Vegas winning the first 6-5 OT in Vegas on January 15, 2026.

Venue Location

Scotiabank Arena
Toronto, ON
Capacity: 19,800
(Opened in 1999, this iconic venue is home to the Maple Leafs and known for its passionate crowd, especially during high-stakes games against Western contenders.)

Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET (4:00 PM PT)
Broadcast: ESPN+, Sportsnet (Leafs local), SCRIPPS (Knights local)
Radio: Sportsnet 590 The Fan (Toronto), KKGK 1340 AM (Vegas)

Injury Report

Both teams are battling significant absences, with Vegas missing key depth players and Toronto’s blue line depleted.

Vegas Golden Knights:

William Karlsson (C): Out (Lower body; expected return post-Olympic break in February)

Brett Howden (C): Out (Lower body; IR, out until at least February 25)

Colton Sissons (C): Out (Upper body; IR, out until at least February 25)

Brandon Saad (LW): Out (Undisclosed; IR, out until at least February 25)

Brayden McNabb (D): Out (Upper body; out until at least February 25)

Carter Hart (G): Out (Lower body; out until at least February 25)

Alex Pietrangelo (D): Out (Hip; IR, out indefinitely)

Adin Hill is expected to start in goal, with Akira Schmid as backup. The Knights will rely on Jack Eichel and Mark Stone to carry the offense.

Toronto Maple Leafs:

William Nylander (RW): Out (Groin; IR, out indefinitely)

Anthony Stolarz (G): Out (Upper body; on conditioning assignment with AHL Toronto, expected return January 25)

Chris Tanev (D): Out (Groin; LTIR, out indefinitely)

Dakota Mermis (D): Out (Lower body; on conditioning assignment with AHL Toronto)

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D): Day-to-day (Lower body; expected to miss some time)

Brandon Carlo (D): Day-to-day (Undisclosed; tweaked something, under evaluation)

Joseph Woll is expected to start in goal. Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner (wait, note: in some reports, Marner is with Vegas due to a trade, but conflicting; assuming standard rosters based on majority sources—Marner on TOR).

Key Player Matchups

This game features offensive stars against injury-thinned defenses, with Vegas’ depth tested on the road.

Jack Eichel (VGK) vs. Morgan Rielly (TOR): Eichel (18G, 41A, 59 PTS) leads Vegas in points and faces Toronto’s top defenseman Rielly for containment. Eichel’s speed could exploit Toronto’s depleted blue line.

Mark Stone (VGK) vs. Auston Matthews (TOR): Stone (18G, 31A) brings two-way play, potentially shadowing Matthews (elite goal-scorer). This matchup could dictate possession in the neutral zone.

Tomas Hertl (VGK) vs. John Tavares (TOR): Hertl (21G) anchors Vegas’ center depth against Tavares’ veteran savvy. Expect physical battles in the faceoff circle (Vegas ranks 8th in FO%).

Pavel Dorofeyev (VGK) vs. Matthew Knies (TOR): Young wingers; Dorofeyev (21G) adds scoring punch, while Knies provides energy for Toronto.

Other notes: Vegas’ power play (10th, 24%) tests Toronto’s penalty kill (18th, 79.3%). Toronto’s home scoring (3.4 GPG) challenges Vegas’ goaltending without Hart.

Team Rankngs

CategoryGolden Knights Rank (League)Maple Leafs Rank (League)
Goals Per Game3.33 (6th)3.32 (7th)
Goals Against Per Game2.96 (13th)3.30 (24th)
Power Play %24.0% (10th)16.9% (24th)
Penalty Kill %81.0% (14th)79.3% (18th)
Shots Per Game29.7 (15th)29.5 (17th)
Faceoff %51.5% (8th)50.8% (12th)

Recent Team Forms

Vegas has been dominant recently, while Toronto has struggled with consistency.

Vegas Golden Knights (Last 10 Games: 7-2-1)
The Knights have won seven of their last 10, outscoring opponents 39-25. Key wins include a 7-2 blowout vs. NSH (Jan. 17) and 6-5 OT vs. TOR (Jan. 15). Recent losses to PHI (1-2 on Jan. 19) and BOS (3-4 on Jan. 22) highlight road fatigue.

DateOpponentResultScoreKey Performer
Jan. 22@ BOSL3-4Eichel: 1G, 1A
Jan. 19vs. PHIL1-2Stone: 1G
Jan. 17vs. NSHW7-2Hertl: 2G
Jan. 15vs. TORW (OT)6-5Marner: 1G, 2A (if on VGK)
Jan. 14@ LAKW (OT)3-2Eichel: 2A
Jan. 10vs. STLW4-2Hill: 32 saves
Jan. 8vs. CBJW5-3Dorofeyev: 2G
Jan. 6@ WPGW (OT)4-3Stone: 1G, 1A
Jan. 4@ CHIL2-3Hertl: 1G
Jan. 2@ STLL3-4Eichel: 1G, 1A

Toronto Maple Leafs (Last 10 Games: 5-2-3)
The Leafs are 5-2-3 in their last 10, with a 0 goal differential. Standout wins include 5-0 vs. CBJ (Jan. 10) and 4-1 vs. FLA (Jan. 6), but losses to DET (1-2 OT on Jan. 21) and MIN (3-6 on Jan. 19) show defensive issues.

DateOpponentResultScoreKey Performer
Jan. 21vs. DETL (OT)1-2Matthews: 1G
Jan. 19vs. MINL3-6Tavares: 1G, 1A
Jan. 17@ WPGW (OT)4-3Knies: 1G, 1A
Jan. 15@ VGKL (OT)5-6Matthews: 2G
Jan. 13@ ARIL1-6Woll: 18 saves
Jan. 12@ COLW (OT)4-3Marner: 2A
Jan. 10vs. CBJW5-0Woll: Shutout
Jan. 8@ PHIW (OT)2-1Matthews: GWG
Jan. 6vs. FLAW4-1Tavares: 2G
Jan. 3@ NYIL (OT)3-4Matthews: 2G

Series History

Vegas leads the all-time series 7-5-3 in 15 regular-season meetings. The Knights have won 6 of the last 10, including this season’s 6-5 OT victory on January 15. Key trends: The over has hit in 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 6.5 total goals.

DateLocationResultScoreSpread Covered?
Jan. 15, 2026VegasVGK Win (OT)6-5VGK -1.5 (No)
Mar. 5, 2025VegasVGK Win5-2VGK -1.5
Nov. 20, 2024TorontoTOR Win3-0TOR +1.5
Feb. 27, 2024TorontoVGK Win6-2VGK -1.5
Feb. 22, 2024VegasTOR Win7-3TOR +1.5

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS): Golden Knights 25-24 (51% cover rate); Maple Leafs 23-26 (46.9% cover rate). Vegas is 5-5 ATS in last 10, Toronto 6-4 ATS. Over/Under (O/U): Golden Knights games hit over 30-19 (61.2%); Maple Leafs 29-21 (58%). Last 10 Vegas games average 6.8 total goals. Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights 22-18 as favorites (55% win rate); Maple Leafs 10-8 as underdogs. Toronto is 16-12 straight-up at home. Recent Trends: Vegas 1-4 ATS last 5 road games; Toronto 6-3 ATS last 9. Over in 11 of Vegas’ last 16; Vegas 5-2 SU last 7 vs. Toronto.

Vegas’ superior record (24-12-12 vs. 24-17-9) and 7-2-1 last 10 give them a 55% win probability. Toronto’s injuries weaken their defense against Vegas’ offense. Spread Pick: Toronto covers 47% of spreads and keeps games close at home (16-12 SU). Vegas is 5-5 ATS recently; expect a one-goal affair.

Total Pick: Over 6 (-110) Both teams trend over (VGK 61%, TOR 58%); last 10 meetings averaged 6.5 goals. Injuries may open up play for scoring.

Game Odds

Vegas Golden Knights                    – 125

Toronto Maple Leafs                      6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, January 22, 2026