Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET (7:00 PM PT)
Venue: Moda Center, Portland, OR (Trail Blazers home game)
The Heat, holding the 8th spot in the East with veteran leadership and defensive identity, face a streaking Blazers squad (9th in West) at home. Portland looks to extend its strong recent form and home-court advantage in a high-scoring potential affair, while Miami aims to stabilize its road play amid key absences.
Injury Report
Miami Heat:
Tyler Herro (PG): Out (ribs/costochondral issue; sidelined for road trip, expected return ~Jan 28 or later).
Kel’el Ware (C): Questionable/GTD (hamstring).
Terry Rozier (SG): Out (longer-term; expected return ~Feb 20).
Other depth notes: Rotation thinner in backcourt/guard creation without Herro.
Core players like Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Duncan Robinson expected active.
Portland Trail Blazers:
Jrue Holiday (PG): Questionable (calf).
Jerami Grant (PF): Questionable (Achilles).
Robert Williams III (C): Questionable (knee).
Additional: Matisse Thybulle (SG): Out (knee; ~Jan 26 return); Blake Wesley (SG): Out (foot; longer-term); other depth pieces potentially limited (up to 5-9 players impacted overall).
Blazers’ frontcourt and perimeter depth tested heavily; Anfernee Simons, Deni Avdija, and Scoot Henderson likely to shoulder extra load if questionables sit.
Key
Player Matchups
PG: Duncan Robinson or backup creation (Heat – spacing/shooting without Herro) vs. Anfernee Simons or Scoot Henderson (Blazers – scoring punch; perimeter pressure key).
SG/SF: Jimmy Butler (Heat – two-way star, isolation/creation) vs. Deni Avdija or Jerami Grant (Q) (versatile defense/length).
PF: Bam Adebayo (Heat – elite defender, pick-and-roll hub) vs. Grant (Q) or Robert Williams III (Q) (physicality/rim protection battle).
C: Bam Adebayo or backup vs. Robert Williams III (Q) (rebounding/rim protection mismatch if Williams active).
Adebayo-Butler duo provides Miami’s defensive anchor and versatility; Blazers rely on Simons’ explosiveness and home energy, but questionables could force smaller lineups vulnerable to Miami’s size/switching.
Team Recent Form
Heat (23-21): 8th in East, solid but inconsistent on road (~11-10 away). Recent form: 4-6 in last 10 but coming off 130-117 road win vs. SAC (Jan 20); averaging ~119 PPG with strong assists but defensive FG% allowed around 46.5%.
Blazers (22-22): 9th in West, strong home record. Recent form: Hot 8-2 in last 10 (including 117-110 win @ SAC recently); scoring ~116 PPG, efficient at home with good ATS cover rate.
Portland emphasizes pace and home shooting efficiency; Heat focus on half-court execution and Butler/Adebayo dominance.
Series History
All-time: Blazers lead 43-31 (or similar narrow edge). Recent seasons: Competitive with high-scoring games; Heat won most recent meeting 136-131 (Nov 8, 2025). Last 5-10 meetings mixed (Blazers won several prior); totals frequently Over due to pace (e.g., 260+ combined). Portland strong at home in rivalry (covers or wins in recent home games).
Betting Trends
Blazers: 8-2 SU/ATS last 10; 25-18-1 ATS season; strong home favorites (14-8 ATS home); Overs hit ~50%+ (more at home). Heat: 4-6 SU last 10, 5-5 ATS; 25-18-1 ATS season; road underdogs variable; Overs ~52%. H2H: Close/high-scoring (Over common); Blazers cover recent home games. General: Home teams like Portland cover ~55%+ vs. middling road opponents; injuries add variance (line movement if questionables out).
Game Odds
Miami Heat 237.5
Portland Trail Blazers – 1.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, January 21, 2026
