NHL Game Preview: Minnesota Wild (27-13-9) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (24-16-8)

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The Minnesota Wild (27-13-9) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (24-16-8) in a cross-conference clash between two playoff contenders dealing with significant injuries. The Wild, second in the Central Division, have been one of the NHL’s hottest teams lately but face a tough test on the road against a Maple Leafs squad that’s won three of four at home. Toronto, sixth in the Atlantic Division, relies on its potent offense (3.4 goals per game, fourth in league) but has been inconsistent defensively. With key players out on both sides—Wild without Joel Eriksson Ek and Matt Boldy, Leafs missing William Nylander and Anthony Stolarz—expect a low-scoring, gritty affair at Scotiabank Arena. The Maple Leafs’ home edge and depth could prove decisive in a projected 4-3 win.

Venue Location

Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario. This 19,800-seat venue, home to the Maple Leafs since 1999, is known for its passionate crowds and strong home-ice advantage, with Toronto posting a 16-5-5 record there this season.

Puckdrop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (4:30 p.m. PT, 7:30 p.m. local time in Toronto). The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, with local feeds on FanDuel Sports North (Wild market) and FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin (Leafs? Wait, Leafs on TSN or Sportsnet). Radio coverage includes KFAN (Wild) and TSN 1050 (Leafs).

Recent Team Forms

The Wild have been strong, going 5-4-1 in their last 10 with a +1 goal differential, alternating wins but solid on the road. The Maple Leafs are 7-1-2 in their last 10 with a +9 goal differential, on a hot streak.

Here’s a breakdown of each team’s last 10 games:

DateOpponentResult (Wild)Score
Jan 17@ BUFW5-4
Jan 15vs WPGL2-6
Jan 12vs NJL2-5
Jan 10vs NYIL (OT)3-4
Jan 8@ SEAW (OT)3-2
Jan 5@ LAKL2-4
Jan 3@ LAKL4-5
Jan 2@ ANAW5-2
Dec 31@ SJSL3-4
Dec 29@ VGKW5-2

Overall: 4-5-1 in last 10 (-2 goal differential).

DateOpponentResult (Leafs)Score
Jan 17vs WPGW (OT)4-3
Jan 15@ VGKL (OT)5-6
Jan 13@ UTAW1-0
Jan 12@ COLW4-3
Jan 10vs VANW5-0
Jan 8vs BOSL1-4
Jan 6vs BOSL3-5
Jan 3@ NYIL (OT)3-4
Jan 1vs WPGW6-5
Dec 30vs NJDW4-0

Overall: 7-1-2 in last 10 (+9 goal differential).

Injury Report

Minnesota Wild:

Jonas Brodin (D): Out – Lower Body (IR, expected back Jan 29).

Joel Eriksson Ek (C): Out – Lower Body (IR, expected back Jan 22).

Matt Boldy (LW): Out – Undisclosed (IR, expected back Jan 24).

Marcus Johansson (LW): Out – Lower Body (expected back Jan 22).

Zach Bogosian (D): Out – Undisclosed (IR, expected back Jan 22).

Toronto Maple Leafs:

William Nylander (RW): Out – Lower Body (expected back Jan 21).

Anthony Stolarz (G): Out – Upper Body (IR, expected back Jan 21).

Dakota Mermis (D): Out – Lower Body (IR, expected back Jan 25).

Simon Benoit (D): Day-To-Day – Upper Body (expected back Jan 19).

Chris Tanev (D): IR – Lower Body (expected back Jan 31).

Key

Player Matchups

Injuries ravage both teams, with Wild missing top scorers and Leafs without Nylander and Stolarz.

Kirill Kaprizov (MIN F) vs. Auston Matthews (TOR F): Kaprizov leads Wild with 2.564 G/60 in last 10; Matthews (0.62 G/GP) counters with scoring.

Joel Eriksson Ek (MIN C) vs. John Tavares (TOR C): Eriksson Ek (out, lower body) sidelines physicality; Tavares (0.700 P/GP) drives Toronto.

Matt Boldy (MIN LW) vs. Mitch Marner (TOR RW): Boldy (out) weakens Wild wing; Marner (assist leader) exploits.

Filip Gustavsson (MIN G) vs. Dennis Hildeby (TOR G): Gustavsson (24 saves last game) vs. Hildeby (25 saves forecasted).

Other keys: Minnesota’s takedown defense vs. Toronto’s power play. Leafs’ home possession vs. Wild’s road counterattacks.

Series History

The Wild have a 3-5-2 record in their last 10 games against the Maple Leafs. Overall, Toronto leads the all-time series 17-13-2. Recent games favor Toronto, with wins in 53.1% of matchups. At home, Toronto is 11-6 vs Minnesota. Unders have hit in 4 of the last 6.

Betting Trends

Puck Line: Leafs 5-5 ATS in last 10; Wild 6-4 ATS as underdogs.

Over/Under: Set at 5.5 to 6.5, with under favored (+114 to -135). Under is 5-1 in Leafs’ last 6; over is 4-1 in Wild’s last 5 road.

Other Trends: Leafs 7-3 SU in last 10 home; Wild 5-5 SU in last 10 overall. Toronto 14-2 SU as -122 favorites; series unders in 4/6.

Game Odds

Minnesota Wild               6.5

Toronto Maple Leafs      – 122

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, January 18, 2026

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